Bio Attack Risk Report
by Dr. Joshua Sinai
This Safely2Prosperity bi-weekly Bio Attack Risk Report brings politicians, government agency heads, and business executives (including leaders of not-for-profit enterprises) up to date on significant news regarding the risks associated with bio attacks at all levels of society, from enterprises (outbreaks) to regions (endemics) to nations (endemics) to international (pandemics), and whether nature-made or human-manufactured, which is often difficult to determine.
Bruce Y. Lee, “Is A Covid-19 Outbreak Happening at The Paris Olympics?”, Forbes, August 10, 2024.
With the Paris Olympics organizers employing proactive surveillance measures, by August 10, at least 40 Olympic athletes had tested positive for the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19). Numerous other athletes may have been also infected with SARS-CoV-2, but they ended up not getting tested.
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“Current Epidemic Growth Status (Based on Rt) for States,” CDC Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analysis, [downloaded August 12, 2024]
As of August 06, 2024, the CDC estimated that in the United States COVID-19 infections were growing or likely growing in 32 states, declining or likely declining in 3 states, and were stable or uncertain in 8 states. The growth in the number of detected infections in 32 states is of significant concern. Because many positive tests often go unreported, this number actually is often far greater than that reported.
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“The Highly Infectious FLiRT Variants Behind the Summer Covid Wave,” Wired, July 24, 2024
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has reported a surge in the U.S. in positive COVID-tests, emergency department visits, hospitalizations, and deaths. Cases of COVID variant-related hospital admissions in the United Kingdom are also escalating. The latest dominant Covid variants are reported to present stronger infectiousness than their predecessors and are capable of evading vaccine-induced antibodies. Significant dangerousness is a factor of contagiousness and deadliness. Reported emergency department visits, hospitalizations, and deaths are good measures of both. Unlike reported testing numbers that miss much of the infected population, Reported ER visits, hospitalization numbers, and death numbers are generally close to the actual experience. The reported numbers here are of significant concern.
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Aliza Rosen, “Why COVID Surges in the Summer,” Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, August 7, 2024
Fall and winter are considered periods when respiratory viruses surge. When COVID-19 emerged in early 2020, it joined flu and RSV as one of the three common respiratory viruses that peak during the colder months. Since then, COVID-19 has transitioned from pandemic to endemic, but has maintained dual seasonality, peaking twice a year. This is important because two infection cycle peaks are more problematic than one.
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“COVID-19: Lessons Can Help Agencies Better Prepare for Future Emergencies,” GAO-24-10775, August 1, 2024.
In the General Accounting Office’s (GAO) latest report, it recommended how the Department of Treasury can better prepare for future COVID-related financial disasters.
Dr. Joshua Sinai is a Member of Safely2Prosperity’s Advisory Board. He may be reached for
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